Saturday, October 18, 2008

Home Health and Hospice Care Data

We at VR believe that home health care industry is amazing and has amazing potential. Please see below our M&A research and public comparables. A few things to note: EV/Revenue is about 0.8-1.2x in the industry, and EV/EBITDA is 6-9x. You can download the Excel file here.

Featured Research Lists

We have decided to create a set of interesting research lists that showcase some of our amazing valuation work, research, M&A data, etc. Please enjoy and check back often as we will add to the list regularly!

Thursday, October 16, 2008

Testimonials

"Great stuff! – I really appreciate you working so hard on this!" --Principal at a Private Equity Fund

"Thank you for this...Sorry just getting back to you, I was finishing up the project, your site was very helpful. Now, I am digging into the other project so, finally getting to this work..." --Principal at a Private Equity Fund

"Great job! This was really very helpful and I must say that I am very pleased with the results. It does shed light on revenues that some of the smaller startups had when acquired and also acquisition multiples. I appreciate your efforts and have made sure our partners know about this!" --Associate at Top-Tier VC Fund

"I think the GUI is very user-friendly and I learned how to use your system and search in no-time. I believe your data is reliable and that makes a big difference as well." --Associate at a Top-Tier VC Fund

"The Valuation Tool is amazing." --Venture Returns Registered User

"Venture Returns a web site devoted to figuring out valuations. Not only do this have some nifty tools to help you do this, they also have a very nice listing of companies in every category. If you're still stuck, you can request comps in a very specific market and within a short period of time, they will give you a list. Highly recommended." --Fryer's Blog in the Mountains

How is the Financial Crisis Affecting the Values of Social Networking Companies

Social networking companies are probably among the most difficult companies in the economy to value. The primary reasons include:
  1. There isn't much data about them
  2. There haven't been that many exit transactions for these companies
  3. While many financial analysts feel that their business model is suspect and that their valuation multiples are unjustified, acquisitions of these companies have demonstrated very, very high valuation multiples
Take, for example, the case of Facebook. Microsoft acquired a 1.6% stake in the company valuing it at $15B. This represented a 100x EV/Revenue ratio and an astounding estimated 429x EV/EBITDA ratio. When we went to come up with valuations of the world's top social networking sites we were seriously challenged because on the one hand we are equally doubtful that these companies underlying fundamentals are adequate to justify such high valuations but simultaneously we personally believe that Microsoft would probably be willing to buy all of facebook at $15B. This last point ended up trumping the first point--because valuation experts generally agree that "fair value" refers to "the price at which property would change hands between a willing buyer and a willing seller, neither being under any compulsion to buy or sell, and both having reasonable knowledge of relevant facts." So we believe that Social Networks are generally worth what other companies are willing to pay for them--which despite the crazy financial crisis is still probably quite high. In any case, you can see how valuation ratios for social networks have been harmed by the financial markets here. Median EV/Revenue ratios have fallen from 10x to 3.5x and median EV/EBITDA ratios have fallen from 25x to 12.4x.

Here is our list of Social Network valuations--click on the hyperlink to see the valuations:
  1. Facebook: 2008 Revenue--$325M
  2. MySpace: 2008 Revenue--$755M
  3. Classmates: 2008 Revenue--$91M
  4. LinkedIn: 2008 Revenue--$65M
  5. Reunion.com: 2008 Revenue--$60M
  6. Bebo.com: 2008 Revenue--$32M
  7. Tagged.com: 2008 Revenue--$16M
  8. Friendster: 2008 Revenue--$10M
Let us know what you think or simply create your own valuation using your tool if you disagree with our high valuations!